NO time to do the Melbourne Cup form?
Check out our five-minute adviser with likes/dislikes and adjudication on the abounding acreage additional a trifecta tip!
The chase that stops the nation is about aloft us.
1. BEST SOLUTION (57.5kg)
Trainer: Saeed Bin Suroor
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
A Godolphin abiding star, Best Solution headed to Australia off the aback of afterwards Accumulation 1 wins in Germany – both over 2400m.
Likes: Franked German anatomy with an absorbing win in the Caulfield Cup (2400m, G1) – in no allotment acknowledgment to a acceptable ride from jockey Pat Cosgrave and a acreage who let the arch accumulation get abroad with murder.
Dislikes: The Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup bifold hasn’t been done aback Ethereal in 2001 and the aftermost topweight to win the chase was Maybe Diva in 2005.
VERDICT: With weight, a bit of a ambit concern and history adjoin this Godolphin runner, I’m cartoon a band through his affairs of acceptable admitting his accessible class. One for the abode fields in your trifecta.
2. THE CLIFFSOFMOHER 56.5kg
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Jockey: Ryan Moore
The Cliffsofmoher had been antagonism and agreement in Accumulation chic (distance ambit 2000m-2400m) in the UK above-mentioned to actuality brought to Australia by Lloyd Williams.
Likes: Impressed over the final 400m of the Caulfield Stakes (2000m, G1) at aboriginal run in Australia. Aing chase accomplished third in the Caulfield Cup (2400m, G1) authoritative arena from the about-face – one of few horses to do so in a chase that favoured frontrunners. Has the casework of abundant jockey Ryan Moore, which is a plus.
Dislikes: Anatomy curve advance was added a Caulfield Cup adversary than one for this Tuesday. Has not been absent by the handicapper and asked to backpack plenty.
VERDICT: The weight accumulated with the added 800 metres is abundant for me to cantankerous him out. Can’t accept them all and I’ll let this one go.
Magic Circle continues to close with the punters. Picture: Getty Images
3. MAGIC CIRCLE 56kg
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Corey Brown
UK stayer who comes into the Melbourne Cup afterward afterwards six-length wins in the Chester Cup (3750m) and Henry II Stakes (3260m, G3).
Likes: Is a accurate grinder of a stayer as against to the added appropriate sit-and-sprint horses that accept been acceptable the Cup of late, so will account from a appropriate clip and adore the continued Flemington straight. Has the casework of accurate Cup champ Corey Brown (Shocking 2009, Rekindling 2017) who approved out the ride afterwards watching the Henry II win.
Dislikes: The handicapper hasn’t absent him with 56kg, and he will charge a little bit of luck in active to ensure he gets a adventitious to body up to his top acceleration as they access the straight.
VERDICT: Loves the ambit and the actuality that Brown committed to ride him so far out from the Cup is a huge vote of confidence. Serious chance.
4. CHESTNUT COAT 55.5kg
Trainer: Yoshito Yahagi
Jockey: Yuga Kawada
Japanese acceptation Chestnut Coat is a analytic agilely raced stayer who ran a actual absorbing fifth in the Tenno Sho (3200m, G1) three starts back.
Likes: The Tenno Sho run is actually what you would appetite to see in the Melbourne Cup with the horse authoritative a long, abiding run
Dislikes: Was not as absorbing at aboriginal run in Australia aback achromatic abominably over final 400m of the Caulfield Cup (2400m, G1) to accomplishment 10.5 lengths off the champ in 13th place.
VERDICT: Some alibi can be fabricated for the Caulfield run as Japanese horses actual rarely go able-bodied on bendable surfaces. Suspect he’ll go bigger on advanced accessible Flemington track, but wants no rain. Roughest of asperous hopes.
5. MUNTAHAA 55.5kg
Trainer: John Godsen
Jockey: Jim Crowley
UK horse who comes to Australia off the aback of a abundant win in Europe’s ri collapsed affliction chase The Ebor (2800m) – in which he lugged 61kg.
Likes: The Ebor is a solid anatomy adviser for the Melbourne Cup and Muntahaa shouldn’t accept any problems with the weight. Has the casework of top UK jockey Jim Crowley
Dislikes: The Ebor win was his aboriginal for 18 months and he was able-bodied baffled by Best Solution the chase afore that.
VERDICT: Reports from Werribee were that Muntahaa formed able-bodied while in apprehension and he’ll go in my exotics for a place.
6. SOUND CHECK 55.5kg
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Jockey: Jordan Childs
German-bred stayer who pushed Best Solution appropriate to the band in the Grosser Preis Von Berlin (2400m, G1) in final run afore actuality beatific to Australia.
Likes: Has a win over Cup ambit in the 3200m G2 Oleander-Rennen in May 2018.
Dislikes: Aloof the one run in Australia, 12th of 18 in the Caulfield Cup (2400m, G1).
VERDICT: Gets a 2kg cull in the weights on Best Solution from the Grosser Preis and has accurate he can break the distance. Happy to absolve the Caulfield run as acclimatized aftermost and never had a achievement the way the chase was run. A abundant bigger adventitious than accepted allowance advance and actually in my exotics.
Blake Shinn on Who Shot Thebarman allotment to calibration afterwards acceptable the Sydney Cup. Picture: Getty Images
7. WHO SHOT THEBARMAN 55.5kg
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey: Ben Melham
This will be the fourth Melbourne Cup for the Chris Waller-trained admirable old stayer and he’s abiding to run as the people’s favourite in the race.
Likes: Bankrupt through to win his aboriginal G1 in Australia beforehand this year aback he claimed the Sydney Cup (3200m, G1) by the aboriginal of margins. Best contempo run was fourth in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m, G2) and it had affluence of arete as chase bounce did not clothing aback markers and he motored home from eighth at the turn.
Dislikes: History suggests a horse this old, with this abounding attempts already beneath his belt, cannot win.
VERDICT: Unlike abounding in this field, ambit is not a concern with nine starts over 3200m for two wins and three places. Some achievement of a d abode and alike that would accompany the abode down.
8. ACE HIGH 55kg
Trainer: David Payne
Jockey: Tye Angland
The 2017 Victoria Derby champ (2500m, G1).
Likes: Ace High was attractive acceptable this preparation, bearing a two-length win in the Hill Stakes (2000m, G2) in September.
Dislikes: Bit of a bomb aftermost alpha in the Caulfield Cup aback affected to the advanced and bootless to go with the acreage aback the clip came on. Has not been absent by the handicapper with 55kg.
VERDICT: Some excuses can be fabricated for the Caulfield Cup run as the clue was a bendable 6 and the adolescent has never won or run a abode on a wet track. Currently quoted as a $75. I anticipate he’s bigger than that but he’s not in my top six.
9. MARMELO 55kg
Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Beaten as odds-on favourite in the Kergolay (3000m, G2) aftermost start, a chase he won in 2017 afore advancing to Australia to accouterment the Melbourne Cup.
Likes: Anatomy afore the Kergolay run adamantine to accountability and the abiding are assured that not accepting a lead-up run in Australia advanced of the Melbourne Cup this year is the way to go. Hugh Bowman’s vote of aplomb in him goes a continued way.
Dislikes: Adamantine to acquisition abundant I don’t like about this guy.
VERDICT: History suggests horses don’t get bigger in their additional angle at the Cup – admitting Empire Rose admirers would point out the accomplished does not necessarily adumbrate the approaching – but I’m able to accord Marmelo addition adventitious on aback of the slight change in alertness this year. Appropriate chance.
10. AVILIUS 54.5kg
Trainer: James Cummings
Jockey: Glyn Schofiel
Former Euro acceptation transferred in 2017 to James Cummings, who has followed the acclaimed “10,000m Cup preparation” favoured by his grandfathering Bart.
Likes: Earned a affirmed alpha in the chase with achievement in The Bart Cummings (2500m, G3), the longest ambit over which he has won.
Dislikes: Able-bodied beaten, eight lengths fourth in the Cox Plate at aftermost alpha but that run was never about acceptable and was added a final conditioning run advanced of Tuesday.
VERDICT: This alertness is approved and true. Both Efficient (2007) and Green Moon (2012) went from unplaced last-start Cox Plate runners to Melbourne Cup winners afresh and Fiorente won in 2013 afterwards finishing third in the Cox. Untested over the ambit but far from the worst.
Nick Williams reacts afterwards cartoon barrier 23 for Yucatan. Picture: AAP Image
11. YUCATAN Ire 54.5kg
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
The Aidan O’Brien-trained and Lloyd Williams-owned Yucatan ran an absurd chase to win the Herbert Power (2400m, G2) at his aboriginal alpha in Australia, antibacterial the acreage and afterwards actuality installed as Melbourne Cup favourite.
Likes: Alone needs to carbon that Herbert Power run to win this.
Dislikes: Can he carbon that run? Above-mentioned to the Herbert Power he had won alone two contest from 12 starts – a beginning over 1600m and a Accumulation 3 area he exhausted bristles others home over 2000m.
VERDICT: The Melbourne Cup is a big footfall up from the Herbert Power in agreement of chic and distance. Admitting the Herbert Power hype, Yucatan is way too abbreviate in the odds. Will be in my trifecta but not a adventitious I’d put money on the adenoids or each-way.
12. AUVRAY 54kg
Trainer: Richard Freedman
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Former French galloper whose best win of his career in Australia was in the Harolds Sky High Stakes (2000m) in March this year.
Likes: won a Accumulation 2 over 3000m in France in October 2014. Ran additional in the Newcastle Cup (2300m, G3) two runs aback and was not too far off the placings in The Metropolitan (2400m, G1) in his chase afore last.
Dislikes: Bootless to blaze aftermost alpha baffled by 8.5 lengths in a abstinent acreage at Randwick.
VERDICT: Admitting a acceptable accomplishment in The Metrop, and history adage he can break (finished fourth in the Accumulation 1 Sydney Cup over 3200m aback in April this year), it’s absurd to tip him.
13. FINCHE 54kg
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey: Zac Purton
The above French-trained son of cool afford Frankel was transferred to the Chris Waller abiding afterward his win in the Prix De Reux (2500m, G3) in August.
Likes: Accomplished third accustomed 59kg in the Geelong Cup (2400m, G3) at his aboriginal alpha in Australia and he gets a 3kg cull in the weights on Runaway actuality as compared to that race. Had a win over Avilius aback in Europe and additionally anatomy about – admitting able-bodied abaft – brilliant Cracksman.
Dislikes: Accustomed a brace added kilos than I’d actually like to see and can’t advice but feel he’ll be bigger aing preparation.
VERDICT: The Geelong Cup accomplishment was abounding of arete and he’s a big striding stayer who should adore Flemington’s continued straight, but I feel he’s apparently accustomed added weight than he should. Alone for the widest exotics.
14. RED CARDINAL 54kg
Trainer: Darren Weir
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Former Euro-based stayer who came in to the 2017 Melbourne Cup in abundant anatomy and looked a 18-carat adventitious off the aback of wins over the 3200m in Germany and America, but accomplished a black 11th, baffled 11 lengths.
Likes: Has had three starts over the Cup ambit for two wins.
Dislikes: Transferred to the Weir abiding afterwards the 2017 Cup, Red Cardinal has had bristles runs for aloof one agreement – third in the Randwick St Leger Stakes (2600m) on October 13. Flopped in his one run aback the St Leger aback finishing in 11th abode seven lengths off the champ Ventura Storm in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m, G2).
VERDICT: Consistently odd to draw such a close band through a accurate stayer in this race, but that’s what I’m accomplishing here.
Vengeur Masque (right) leads Sole Impact in the Caulfield Cup. Picture: AAP
15. VENGEUR MASQUE 54kg
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Jockey: Patrick Moloney
Unlucky not to accomplish the Melbourne Cup acreage aftermost year afterward a win in the Geelong Cup and 0.2 breadth additional in the Lexus Stakes, Vengeur Masque comes into this year’s chase in not actually the above form.
Likes: His anatomy aftermost bounce was exceptional. It’s not 2017 though.
Dislikes: Accomplished 5.5 lengths fifth off Avilius in The Bart Cummings (2500m, G3) and again aloof whacked abroad bottomward the beeline aback bristles lengths ninth in the Caulfield Cup.
Verdict: Can’t see him active a place.
16. VENTURA STORM 54kg
Trainer: D & B Hayes and T Dabering
Jockey: Mark Hahra
Former acceptation who assuredly bankrupt his Australian avoid (in his 17th start) with a win in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m, G2) at his aftermost start.
Likes: The abiding feel they are assuredly assignment out this fellow, who has been gelded and had a throat operation to advice him stay.
Dislikes: Has had two cracks at active 3200m in Australia and flopped in both – declining to accomplishment the 2017 Melbourne Cup and abrasion over the final 200m to accomplishment eight lengths ninth in the 2018 Sydney Cup.
VERDICT: Kingston Rule (1990) was the aftermost horse to win the Moonee Valley Cup-Melbourne Cup bifold and I anticipate that almanac will abide intact.
17. A PRINCE OF ARRAN 53kg
Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: Michael Walker
Globetrotting stayer who appointed his abode in the Melbourne Cup with achievement in the Lexus Stakes (2500m, G3) aftermost Saturday.
Likes: The Lexus win was a accomplished blockage appearance and he will accept no problems at all with the distance, accepting a win and three places to his acclaim from seven starts over 3200m already in his career.
Dislikes: Not a lot really. Barrier will accomplish it boxy though.
VERDICT: Affluence to like about a horse that you apperceive can awning the ambit and who has had two acceptable runs in Australia already. Don’t like the barrier though. Lightweight abode achievement admitting barrier woes.
18. NAKEETA 53kg
Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Regan Bayliss
UK stayer who ran fifth in this chase aftermost year.
Likes: Not abundant I’m abashed – she can break but contempo anatomy negates that advantage.
Dislikes: Lead-up anatomy in 2018 has not been abundant with six runs aback the 2017 Cup yet to allurement her a place. Was baffled a continued way (14.5 lengths to be precise) in her one run in Australia this basic aback never in the chase in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m, G2).
19. SIR CHARLES ROAD 53kg
Trainer: L O’Sullivan & A Scott
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
New Zealand-based stayer who fabricated the best of his agile to run third in the 2018 Sydney Cup (3200m, G1) abaft Who Shot Thebarman and Zacada aback in April.
Likes: Anatomy this basic has been fair and he got into the Cup acknowledgment to a angry third in the Bendigo Cup (2400m, G3).
Dislikes: A third in the Bendigo Cup … Tuesday is a big footfall up on that.
VERDICT: While we apperceive he can awning the ambit – has a fifth over 3200m in the Accumulation 1 Auckland Cup in March 2018 to go with the above third in Sydney – he seems to be several accomplish bottomward on abounding actuality aback it comes to chic and is one I’m able to risk.
20: ZACADA 53kg
Trainer: M Baker & A Forsman
Jockey: Damian Lane
Another New Zealand-based stayer and one whose anatomy curve – as far as the two afar goes – bout Sir Charles Road.
Likes: Accomplished additional in the Sydney Cup and accomplished fourth in the Auckland Cup this year, so can acutely stay.
Dislikes: Has apparent actually annihilation this preparation, finishing 11th of 13, 15th of 16, eighth of 12 and 12th of 15.
VERDICT: Would be a abomination if a horse with this anatomy band ran anywhere a the aboriginal bisected of the field.
21. RUNAWAY 52kg
Trainer: G Waterhouse & A Bott
Jockey: Stephen Baster
A attenuate locally bred and accomplished Cup runner, the Gai Waterhouse-trained Runaway able for the acreage with a win in the Geelong Cup (2400m, G3).
Likes: Has won over 2800m (Listed VRC St Leger at Flemington in April 2018) and placed at Accumulation 1 akin (third in the 2018 South Australian Derby, 2500m).
Dislikes: Concedes 3kg to Finche on his Geelong Cup run.
VERDICT: Frontrunner who could able-bodied advance the acreage into the final beeline and run a d race.
22. YOUNGSTAR 51.5kg
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey: Craig Williams
Chris Waller-trained Queensland Oaks (2200m, G1) champ who will account from the casework of affection jockey Craig Williams.
Likes: Was eight lengths off the baton and eight advanced at the 300m in the Caulfield Cup (2400m, G1) afore she aflame home to affirmation a fast-finishing seventh in a appropriate Cup trial.
Dislikes: Has never won or placed accomplished 2200m, so big catechism mark over adeptness to break two miles.
VERDICT: Gets in able-bodied bottomward the weights and is a chic adult on her way up, but could be begin absent over the final 400m if the chase turns into a 18-carat blockage duel. Bit of a beating is Kerrin McEvoy’s accommodation to hop off him for the Cup. Not the worst.
William Buick active for achievement on Cantankerous Counter in the Qatar Gordon Stakes at Goodwood Racecourse on August 4. Picture: Getty Images
23. CROSS COUNTER 51kg
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Plenty of bodies adeptness agnosticism the adeptness of a agilely raced arctic hemisphere three-year-old to win a Melbourne Cup, except that’s actually what trainer Charlie Appleby did with Rekindling aftermost year and he’s walking the above clue with Cantankerous Counter.
Likes: Has had aloof the seven starts with best win the Qatar Gordon Stakes (2400m, G3), and he ran additional to Old Persian in the Abundant Voltigeur Stakes (2400m, G2) above-mentioned to actuality beatific to Australia. Brilliant jockey Kerrin McEvoy acutely a fan as he has hopped of Youngstar to booty this ride in the Cup.
Dislikes: A minor setback – he cut his leg while at Werribee – affected him to absence some training, but the stable is assured he’s bounced aback from that.
VERDICT: The ablaze weight brings him appropriate into this and the brilliant jockey’s accommodation to booty the ride is a massive addition in his favour. I commonly like to see either a appropriate run in Australia, or at atomic some Accumulation 1 anatomy to assignment around, from an acceptation afore throwing him into my Cups exotics, but the ablaze weight and McEvoy and Appelby’s adeptness cannot be ignored. Should be in trifecta bets.
24. ROSTROPOVICH 51kg
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Jockey: Wayne Lordan
Yet addition euro raider, Rostropovich, accomplished by Irish adept Aidan O’Brien, came to Australia off the aback of a half-length additional to Latrobe in the Irish Derby (2400m, G1) and win in the Paddy’s Rewards Club Stakes (2400m, G3).
Likes: Gets in with no weight and this youngster is bred to stay. Never a blackmail at aboriginal run in Australia – but cipher accepted him to actively abuse in the Cox Plate (2040m, G1) and the abiding said the run was artlessly a adventitious to get a aggressive run into the horse advanced of his capital ambition the Melbourne Cup.
Dislikes: Ambit a concern admitting ancestry as has never run added than 2400m.
VERDICT: Gets in with aloof 51kg and has acclimatized able-bodied in Australia. Ambit affair leaves him alfresco my top bank but chic and abiding agency he cannot be ignored.
FINAL VERDICT: The exotics pools in the Melbourne Cup are consistently huge and for that acumen my favourite bet is a advanced trifecta.
Magic Circle (4), Sound Check (6) and A Prince Of Arran (17) are my top three picks actuality and will advance my trifecta bet.
On the additional band I accept Best Solution (1) , Yucatan (11), Muntahaa (5) and Marmelo (9).
To these I’d add Finche (13), Youngstar (22) and Cantankerous Counter (23).
That’s 144 combinations and so for $50 you’ll get a adumbration beneath 35% of the dividend.
Good luck all.
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