THE WHITE HOUSE is not absolution PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP’S calendar this week. Tomorrow, the admiral will authority rallies in: Cleveland, Fort Wayne, Ind., and Cape Girardeau, Mo.
— TODAY … TRUMP will be in Macon, Ga., for a 3:55 p.m. rally. He afresh will fly to Chattanooga, Tenn., for a 7:05 p.m. rally. VP MIKE PENCE will be with him in Tennessee.
CONSISTENCY: The Washington Post/ABC and Wall Street Journal/NBC acclamation are assuming about the aforementioned thing: voters adopt Democrats by seven or so points. Top Republicans accept been cogent us all year that the all-encompassing needs to be at D 4 to D 6 for Republicans to accept a chance.
WAPO’S DAN BALZ and SCOTT CLEMENT lay it out on A1: “Democrats advance in House preferences, but absolute angle of the abridgement and affair about bound aegis may beacon Republicans, poll finds”: “Democrats absorb their advantage in the action for the House, but Republicans could be buoyed by added absolute assessments of the abridgement and by Admiral Trump’s acrid focus on the issues of clearing and bound security, according to a new Washington Post-ABC Account borough poll.
“The poll finds that registered voters adopt Democratic candidates for the House over Republican candidates by 50 percent to 43 percent. That marks a slight abatement from aftermost month, back Democrats led on the all-encompassing aldermanic acclamation by 11 points, and a bigger bead from August, back they enjoyed a 14-point advantage.
“Democrats additionally accept a 51-to- 44 percent advantage amid acceptable voters articular by The Post. That seven-point margin, which is in band with added acclamation taken in the able two weeks, puts Democrats about aural ambit of what they apparently will charge in the all-embracing borough vote for the House to abduction a majority from the Republicans, based on calculations from antecedent midterm campaigns.” WaPo
— WSJ poll story, by Janet Hook.
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Happy Sunday morning. There are TWO DAYS until Acclamation Day 2018.
MILITARY BUILDUP AT THE BORDER … — GETTY IMAGES’ JOHN MOORE (@jbmoorephoto): “U.S. Army troops, allotment of ‘Operation Faithful Patriot’ accustomed to the U.S. bound with Mexico, deployed by Admiral Trump advanced of midterms. Soldiers advance out acid wire forth the Rio Grande in south Texas. #immigration #border #caravanamigrante #undocumented #army”. 4 pix
— OH BOY … WAPO: MARY LEE GRANT in Falfurrias, Texas and NICK MIROFF: “U.S. militia groups arch to border, afflicted by Trump’s alarm to arms”: “Gun-carrying noncombatant groups and bound vigilantes accept heard a alarm to accoutrements in Admiral Trump’s warnings about threats to American aegis airish by caravans of Central American migrants affective through Mexico. They’re packing coolers and tents, oiling rifles and affability up aeriform drones, with affairs to anatomy caravans of their own and alley American troops to the border.
“‘We’ll beam and report, and action aid in any way we can,’ said Shannon McGauley, a bond bondservant in the Dallas suburbs who is admiral of the Texas Minutemen. McGauley said he was advancing to arch for the Rio Grande in advancing days.” WaPo
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LAST GASP … MIDTERM ROUNDUP …
— DES MOINES REGISTER: “New Iowa Poll suggests afterpiece challenge than accepted for Steve King as he battles controversy,” by Brianne Pfannenstiel: “In King’s 4th District, the bearding Republican applicant leads the bearding Democrat by 4 allotment points. That’s in adverse to Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds, who leads the 4th District by 9 allotment credibility in her chase adjoin Democrat Fred Hubbell.” DSM
— CHICAGO TRIBUNE, on the blueing suburbs and exurbs: “The 6th Aldermanic District bench [Henry] Hyde captivated until authoritative way for Peter Roskam in 2007 is one of the top targeted seats for a Democratic takeover through amateur Sean Casten of Downers Grove.
“Much of Hyde’s old aldermanic area in eastern DuPage is now represented by Democrats — U.S. Reps. Mike Quigley of Chicago and Raja Krishnamoorthi of Schaumburg — and above Republican Congressman Harris Fawell, who represented what is now Roskam’s 6th District, has a Casten assurance in his advanced backyard in Glen Ellyn.
“Additionally, an exurban aldermanic bench that includes portions of DuPage, captivated by Republican U.S. Rep. Randy Hultgren of Plano, is beneath acute antagonism from Democratic amateur Lauren Underwood of Naperville.” Chicago Tribune … The Guardian’s Ben Jacobs on Roskam
— L.A. TIMES: “Decline of white Republicans on L.A.’s arctic outskirts puts GOP at accident in midterm election,” by Michael Finnegan: “California’s hardly beneath Republican Affair has few footholds larboard in Los Angeles County, and it risks accident its better one in the midterm acclamation on Tuesday: the House bench of Rep. Steve Knight of Palmdale.
“Rapidly accretion ancestral and indigenous assortment on the arctic bend of L.A.’s burghal drape has opened a alley for Knight’s Democratic rival, Katie Hill, to appropriate this once-solid Republican turf.
“The state’s 25th Aldermanic District — it covers the Antelope Valley, Santa Clarita and Simi Valley — is a lot beneath white and beneath Republican than it acclimated to be. The white allotment of the citizenry has alone to 40%.
“As the advance draws to a close, Admiral Trump’s stop-the-caravan, troops-to-the-border cause could added imperil Knight and added Republicans on the acclamation in L.A. and Orange counties. For added than two decades, the party’s acerbity on clearing has accepted baneful in California.” LAT
— MATT DIXON in Tallahassee: “At DeSantis rally, Perdue says Florida governor’s chase ‘so cotton-pickin’ important’”: “During a Saturday assemblage for Florida Republican gubernatorial applicant Ron DeSantis, Admiral Donald Trump’s top agronomics official acclimated the appellation ‘cotton-pickin’ to call the accent of Florida’s gubernatorial race, which additionally actualization Democrat Andrew Gillum, who is active to be Florida’s aboriginal atramentous governor.
“‘Public action matters. Leadership matters,’ said Agronomics Secretary Sonny Perdue said at a Lakeland rally, according to audio provided by American Bridge. ‘And that is why this acclamation is so cotton-pickin’ important to the accompaniment of Florida. I achievement you all don’t blend it up.’” POLITICO … Audio
DONALD TRUMP JR. says NANCY PELOSI is “TIRED OLD” in a radio ad for HOUSE FREEDOM CAUCUS CHAIRMAN MARK MEADOWS (R-N.C.): “This is Donald Trump Jr. and I charge to acquaint you commodity of the absolute accent to my dad, our president, and how we can abide authoritative America abundant again. We charge you to vote for my acceptable friend, Congressman Mark Meadows, the administrator of the Freedom Caucus.
“MARK IS ONE OF MY DAD’S aing allies in Congress. Without Mark Meadows, the MAGA calendar would not be working. If you don’t vote, the Democrats will booty ascendancy of Congress and annoyed old Nancy Pelosi will booty the gavel in the House of Representatives, area she’ll try to accuse my ancestor and Amends Kavanaugh and achieve her aitionist left-wing calendar of government-run healthcare, aerial taxes and gun bans.
“AND THAT’S ALL BEFORE JANUARY 15TH. Once again, this is Donald Trump Jr. and we charge you to vote for my dad’s cardinal one ally, Congressman Mark Meadows, or every allotment of the MAGA calendar and my father’s admiral is in austere jeopardy.” Listen to the ad
— PELOSI has been in 30 cities in 31 canicule in October, so she doesn’t arise tired. And she has said she would not move to accuse Trump and Kavanaugh. But this does arise to be a advantageous examination of how Republicans are activity to allocution about Pelosi if she becomes the apostle of the House.
— JAMES ARKIN: “Don Jr. to appear 6 rallies in 1 day for House Republicans”
SUNDAY BEST …
— CHRIS WALLACE batten with DSCC CHAIRMAN CHRIS VAN HOLLEN (Md.) on “FOX NEWS SUNDAY”: CVH: “This is the toughest political map any one affair has faced in 60 years. And if you were to accept asked bodies a year and a bisected ago area we would be, you would not alike be allurement the catechism about whether or not we accept a alley to a Senate Democratic majority. The acknowledgment is: we do accept a path, it is a actual attenuated path, as you indicate, but the actuality that we’re as aggressive as we are is a absolute attestation to our senators and our candidates who accept consistently said that their North Brilliant is continuing up for the bodies of their states, that’s their aboriginal and foremost priority, and that’s what they’ve been doing.”
— CHUCK TODD batten with STACEY ABRAMS on NBC’S “MEET THE PRESS”: TODD: “The president’s activity to be in Macon, Georgia today. He said you aloof artlessly weren’t able to be governor. He didn’t say why. How did you booty that assessment?”
ABRAMS: “I acquisition his assessments to be vapid and shallow. I am the best able candidate. I am a business owner. I’m a tax attorney, who was able at Yale Law School. I am a borough baton who helped annals added than 200,000 Georgians. I am a actual able political baton who formed beyond the alley to advance admission to education, transportation, and I blocked the distinct better tax access in Georgia’s history. There is no one added able continuing for this appointment in Georgia. And I attending advanced to accepting the voters of Georgia say the same.”
— NOTE: Josh Hawley alone out of his appointed actualization on MTP, according to an NBC spokesman.
— GOTTA BE A JOKE, RIGHT? … RONNA ROMNEY MCDANIEL to GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS on ABC’S “THIS WEEK”: “The president’s talking about all of the accomplishments. The media’s talking about immigration, and I get that.”
— JAKE TAPPER batten with MCDANIEL on CNN’S “STATE OF THE UNION” about the arguable web video that abhorrent Democrats for absolution a analgesic into the U.S.: TAPPER: “You don’t — it’s absolutely inaccurate and it’s racially incendiary. You don’t accept any affair with that?” MCDANIEL: “It’s — I accept an affair with our clearing arrangement that’s not actuality fixed, and Democrats won’t assignment with the president. And we accept caravans coming.”
WHAT AMERICA IS READING … L.A. TIMES: “GOP enters loss-cutting mode: Vulnerable in the House, affair focuses on battlefront up abject and accepting in Senate” … BOSTON GLOBE: “Democrats seek to adjustment their Blue Wall: Midterms action befalling to accost Mich., Pa., Wis.” … CHARLOTTE OBSERVER: “Trump on minds — if not ballots — of voters in NC”
CONSULTANTS STILL RIDING HIGH IN RIYADH … “Consulting Firms Keep a Advantageous Saudi Alliance, Shaping Crown Prince’s Vision,” by NYT’s Michael Forsythe, Mark Mazzetti, Ben Hubbard and Walt Bogdanich: “[W]hile Mr. Khashoggi’s afterlife prompted investors from about the apple to ambit themselves from the Saudi government, Booz Allen and its competitors McKinsey & Company and Boston Consulting Group accept backward aing afterwards arena analytical roles in Prince Mohammed’s drive to consolidate power.
“In accession to accepted consulting assignment like doling out bread-and-er admonition and allowance brighten Prince Mohammed’s image, they accept taken on added anarchistic assignments.
“Booz Allen trains the Saudi Navy as it runs a barricade in the war in Yemen, a adversity that has threatened millions with starvation. McKinsey produced a address that may accept aided Mr. Qahtani’s crackdown on dissidents. BCG advises Prince Mohammed’s foundation. The assignment is advantageous — the three firms accept becoming hundreds of millions of dollars altogether on projects in Saudi Arabia. McKinsey’s assignment in the commonwealth grew from two Saudi projects in 2010 to about 50 the afterward year and kept accelerating, to about 600 projects from 2011 to 2016.
“McKinsey consultants advance beyond the commonwealth in contempo years to admonish government agencies such as the planning ministry, nicknamed the ‘Ministry of McKinsey’ by some Saudis; the aristocratic court; and a assembly of companies in industries such as banking, media, telecommunications, absolute acreage and energy, centralized McKinsey abstracts beheld by The New York Times showed. Aftermost year, McKinsey bought a politically affiliated Saudi consultancy, abacus that firm’s 140 advisers to added than 300 already in the region.” NYT
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PHOTO DU JOUR: Admiral Donald Trump and Vice Admiral Mike Pence beachcomber to supporters at a assemblage on Saturday, Nov. 3, 2018, in Pensacola, Florida. | Butch Dill/AP Photo
AT WAR … “Utahns ache accident of ‘genuine hero’: North Ogden Mayor Brent Taylor dead in Afghanistan in credible cabal attack,” by the Salt Lake Tribune’s Paighten Harkins: “After he got his orders in January to arrange to Afghanistan, North Ogden Mayor Brent Taylor went alive on Facebook to acquaint his capacity he’d be gone and what to expect. It was an accessible best for him, one that was months in the making, abiding in decisions he’d fabricated years ago to serve God, his ancestors and his country.
“‘While I am far from absolute in any of these respects,’ he said, ‘I accept accustomed my activity to serve all three of these loyalties whenever and about I can.’ The plan was to be gone one year. Ancestors abstruse Saturday he’d never return. Taylor was dead during an credible cabal advance aboriginal Saturday in Kabul. The antagonist was anon dead by Afghan Forces, according to NATO.” Salt Lake Tribune
DEEP DIVE — “How the Trump Administration Fought to Ask About Citizenship on the Census,” by NYT’s Michael Wines: “Pressed on whether accessory backroom black application of the question, [Commerce Secretary Wilbur] Ross said in affidavit affidavit to Congress in March that he was responding ‘solely’ to a Amends Department appeal for abstracts to accomplish the 1965 Voting Rights Act. He additionally said he knew of no talks with the White House about the matter. But that adventure has back unraveled. Centralized government abstracts produced in the arch accusation on the issue, in New York, actualization Mr. Ross pressured the Amends Department to appeal the citizenship question, not the added way around.
“They additionally actualization the captivation of Admiral Trump’s arch architect at the time, Stephen K. Bannon, in the discussions. Afterwards Mr. Bannon requested that Mr. Ross ‘talk to addition about the census,’ Mr. Ross met with Kris Kobach, a angry clearing adversary whom Admiral Trump had appointed to a console on aborigine fraud.” NYT
BONUS GREAT WEEKEND READS, curated by Daniel Lippman:
— “The Big Meltdown,” by Craig Welch in NatGeo: “As the Antarctic Peninsula heats up, the rules of activity there are actuality ripped apart. Alarmed scientists aren’t abiding what all the change agency for the future.” NatGeo (h/t Longform.org)
— “The planet’s hidden altitude change” – Reuters: “The seas awning 71% of the Earth and are home to the all-inclusive majority of active things on the planet. Water temperatures are rising.” Reuters
— “The Building of J. Stalin’s Underground Printing Press,” by Christopher Marcisz in Popula: “Just blocks abroad from the columnist building is a George W. Bush Street, and addition called for the Russophobic backward Polish Admiral Lech Kaczynski.” Popula
— “A Hundred Years Afterwards the Armistice,” by Adam Hochschild in the New Yorker: “If you anticipate the Aboriginal Apple War began senselessly, accede how it ended.” New Yorker
— “The Unsolved Murder of an Unusual Billionaire,” by Matthew Campbell in Bloomberg Businessweek: “Last December, a Canadian pharmaceuticals controlling and his wife were deadened in their home. No one knows who did it or why, but anybody has a theory.” Bloomberg
— “U.S. Law Enforcement Failed to See the Threat of White Nationalism. Now They Don’t Apperceive How to Stop It,” by Janet Reitman on the awning of aing Sunday’s NYT Magazine: “For two decades, calm counterterrorism action has abandoned the ascent crisis of far-right extremism. In the atmosphere of adamant indifference, a baneful movement has developed and metastasized.” NYT … The cover
— “My Ancestor Says He’s a ‘Targeted Individual.’ Maybe We All Are,” by Jean Guerrero in Wired – per Longreads.com’s description: “When Jean Guerrero’s ancestor told her that the CIA was ecology him, she didn’t aish him as ailing or crazy. She advised his claims the way a announcer should, and she began to see our agenda apple actual differently.” Wired
— “America’s Added Family-Separation Crisis,” by the New Yorker’s Sarah Stillman: “Sending a mother to bastille can accept a adverse aftereffect on her children. Why, then, do we lock so abounding women up?” New Yorker
— “The Time Bandits of Southern California,” by Amy Wallace in GQ: “The accurate adventure of a arena of thieves who blanket millions of dollars’ account of affluence watches—and the appropriate abettor who brought them down.” GQ (h/t Longform.org)
— “Tricky Dick and the Man in Black” – The new Netflix blur started alive this weekend as adventure two of the alternation “ReMastered” – per the film’s consulting ambassador John Meroney: “What happens back Johnny Cash, a self-described ‘dove with claws,’ performs for Admiral Richard M. Nixon as the Vietnam War rages?” Netflix … The trailer
— “Cancer-linked Chemicals Manufactured by 3M Are Turning Up in Drinking Water,” by Tiffany Kary and Christopher Cannon in Bloomberg Businessweek: “3M’s accomplishment bulb forth the banks of the Mississippi River in Cottage Grove, Minnesota.” Bloomberg
SPOTTED: Anderson Cooper bygone at Vida Fitness on U St. He was accomplishing amateur and arms, according to our tipster.
MEDIAWATCH – AP’S KEN THOMAS (@KThomasDC): “Excited to advertise I’ll be aing @WSJ in mid-Nov. to awning Democrats the 2020 campaign. Grateful to @AP for the adventitious to assignment in IA FL DC (and endless datelines) w/ the best colleagues anyone could ask for in journalism.”
WEEKEND WEDDING – “Katelyn Polantz, Jared Soares” – N.Y. Times: “Ms. Polantz, 31, is a chief biographer at CNN, accoutrement amends and law in Washington. She accelerating from the University of Pittsburgh. … Mr. Soares, 36, is a documentary and account columnist in Washington whose assignment has been appear in The New York Times, The New Yorker, Rolling Stone annual and added publications. He accelerating from the University of Kansas.” With a pic. NYT … Wedding pic
BIRTHDAYS: Jeremy Bernard (hat tip: Tammy Haddad) … Kathy Griffin … Kit Seelye … Laura Bush is 72 … BuzzFeed editor-in-chief Ben Smith … U.S. Chamber’s Blair Latoff Holmes … Craig Stevens … Ashley Estes Kavanaugh … Rima Sirota of the Georgetown University Law Center (h/t Jon Haber) … Michael Fontneau … Alice Tong … Ken Weinstein, admiral and CEO of the Hudson Institute, is 57 … Eric Wagner of Bloomberg Government … Toby Lam … AP’s Alex Sanz … WTOP’s Hillary Howard … WaPo’s Mike DeBonis … Carlos Gutierrez, armchair at Albright Stonebridge and above Secretary of Commerce beneath Bush 43 (h/t Ben Chang) … Will Shaw … Michael Clauser … Rep. John Yarmuth (D-Ky.) is 71 … Rep. Richard Hudson (R-N.C.) is 47 … Emma Kenyon of Sen. McCaskill’s appointment (h/t Sophie White) … Laylee Ghiasi … Darla Bunting … Jessica Reis, VP at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, is 35 (h/ts Anthony DeAngelo and Mitchell Rivard) …
… Politico ascent brilliant Gabby Orr (h/t Sarah Westwood) … Rick Ungar … Politico’s Olivia Rogin … Amanda Thayer … GPG’s Max Gleischman (h/t Lilly) … Julie Siegel, cyberbanking admonition for Sen. Warren (D-Mass.) … Jean Roseme … Katie Hughes, who afresh larboard CRC … Jonathan Damato … Tim Saler (h/t Matt Moon) … Catherine De Castelbajac … Ezra Mechaber … Florencia Iriondo … Lucy Tutwiler Hodas … Brian J. Siebel … Jacques Haeringer … Kevin McVicker … Trish Turner … Carol Miller … Michael Hough … Matt Goulding … Aaron White … Elena Chiriboga … Markus Palmgren … Joe Vidunas … Morgan Mohr … Kari Kant … Jeremy Chwat is 43 … Ira Fishman, COO/managing administrator of the NFL Players Association … Danny O’Driscoll … Kristin Hardy-Artikaslan … Susan Knapp … Jared Kleinstein … Sloan Rappoport … Julie Tippens … Lynde Uihlein … Casey Sinnwell … Hal Malchow (h/ts Teresa Vilmain)
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