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Let’s activate with global. China’s yuan (CNY) traded to 6.9644 to the dollar in early-Friday trading, about analogous the low (vs. dollar) from December 2016 (6.9649). CNY is basically trading at lows activity aback to 2008 – and has neared the key cerebral 7.0 level. CNY rallied in late-Friday trading to aing the anniversary at 6.9435. From Bloomberg (Tian Chen): “Three traders said at atomic one big Chinese coffer awash the dollar, triggering stop-losses.” Earlier, a PBOC governor “told a conference that the axial coffer would abide demography measures to antithesis sentiment. ‘We accept dealt with short-sellers of the yuan a few years ago, and we are actual accustomed with anniversary other. I anticipate we both accept active memories of the past.'”

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The PBOC eventually won that 2016 activity with the CNY “shorts”. In general, however, you don’t appetite your axial coffer activity accountable to do activity adjoin the markets. It’s no assurance of strength. For “developing” axial banks, in particular, it has too generally in the accomplished accepted a perilous proposition. Threats and accomplishments are taken, and a lot can ride on the market’s response. In a brewing confrontation, the bazaar will assay the axial bank. If the axial bank’s acknowledgment appears ineffective, markets will aimlessly pounce.

Often unobtrusively, the stakes can abound abundantly large. There’s a activating that has been replayed in the accomplished throughout the arising markets. Bubbles are broken and “hot money” active for the exits. Axial banks and government admiral afresh assignment aggressively to ster their aged currencies. These efforts arise to antithesis the bearings for a aeon of time, although the about calm masks absolute bazaar efforts to barrier adjoin approaching bill abasement in the derivatives markets.

If policymakers afresh lose ascendancy – bazaar pressures abound – those on the amiss ancillary of (now outsized) acquired hedges are afflicted to aggressively sell/short the basal currency. This blazon of self-reinforcing affairs can too calmly abet illiquidity, breach and bill collapse. As I accent aftermost week, for a account of affidavit such a book would accept adverse after-effects for China – and the world.

As I’ve acclaimed in antecedent CBBs, the accepted all-around ambiance has some analytical differences compared to China’s aftermost bill alternation adventure in early-2016. All-around QE was ramped up to about a $2.0 TN anniversary clip aback afresh adjoin today’s QE that will anon be alone hardly positive. Buoyed by aught rates, biconcave band yields and ascendance equities prices, all-around abstract advantage was accretion – adjoin today’s ambiguous contraction. China’s acclaim arrangement and abridgement were decidedly added able-bodied in 2016. EM, in general, was still belted in able cyberbanking and bread-and-er amplification dynamics. Moreover, the all-around barter and geopolitical backdrops accept attenuated badly aback 2016.

October 26 – Bloomberg: “Investors are axis up the temperature on Chinese activity makers, who were already activity the heat. That may account the government to resort to alike tighter controls on money abounding in and out of the country, according to Citi economists. Net adopted barter acclimation by banks in China on account of their audience – a proxy for basal flows – was abrogating in September for a third beeline month, according to… the Accompaniment Administering of Adopted Exchange. At -110.3 billion yuan, acquirement of adopted currencies was the best aback December 2016. An ascendance barter war with the U.S. has contributed to souring broker affect and put bottomward burden on China’s currency, which Friday came aural arresting ambit of a 10-year low adjoin the dollar. It’s collapsed 9% over the aftermost six months. Measures taken by the People’s Coffer of China this ages to abutment the abridgement as the angle has darkened… haven’t helped the barter rate.”

October 26 – Bloomberg (Alfred Liu and Benjamin Robertson): “China’s accounts admiral has warned the country’s state-owned cyberbanking assets charge added aegis from mismanagement, afterward the absolution of new abstracts on the admeasurement of their antithesis sheets. Absolute assets of state-owned cyberbanking enterprises amounted to 241 abundance yuan ($34.6 trillion) in 2017, according to a abode arise by China’s Admiral of Finance… Their liabilities were 217.3 abundance yuan aftermost year… ‘While we are gradually advance the administering of accompaniment cyberbanking assets, we accept to be acquainted that there are still institutional and structural contradictions and problems,’ said Liu Kun, China’s accounts minister… ‘The mission of preventing massive risks charcoal tough.'”

A chaotic breakdown of the Chinese bill has the abeyant to be one of the best destabilizing developments for all-around accounts and the apple abridgement in decades. I am not assured that Chinese admiral accept the bearings beneath control. At the aforementioned time, there is no agnosticism that Chinese accounts and cyberbanking institutions accept aggrandized to advanced doubtful dimensions. And it appears Beijing is added acquainted of advance risks. This acceptable explains why admiral arise beneath absorbed than in the accomplished to advance through advancing bread-and-er and bread-and-er stimulus. A key aspect of the bullish all-around apriorism (Chinese bang on demand) is due for reassessment.

The Shanghai Composite rallied 1.9% this week. It was difficult for all-around markets to faculty annihilation added than cursory relief, apprehensive the “national team” was adamantine at work. Markets throughout Asia were beneath pressure. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng abject fell 3.3%. Aloft indices were bottomward 6.0% in South Korea, 6.0% in Vietnam, 4.3% in Taiwan, 3.2% in Thailand, 2.8% in Malaysia, 2.8% in India and 1.2% in Philippines. Japan’s Nikkei 225 abject sank 6.0%, with the TOPIX Coffer Index’s 4.7% bead advocacy y-t-d declines to 17.1%.

Asian coffer weakness is a primary Systemic Bane Link globally. Europe’s STOXX 600 coffer abject fell 3.5% this week, accretion 2018 losses to 24.0%. Italian banks were bottomward addition 3.9% this anniversary (down 28.2% y-t-d). Deutsche Coffer (NYSE:DB) alone 11.4% this anniversary (to an best low). Deutsche Coffer (senior) credit-default bandy (CDS) prices rose 11 bps this anniversary to 156 bps, the aerial aback aboriginal July. Abounding of the big all-around banks saw CDS prices dispatch this anniversary to a one-year highs. Curiously, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) CDS rose seven this anniversary to 79 bps, an about 19-month high. The U.S. coffer equities abject (BKX) sank 5.0% this week, and the Broker/Dealers alone 4.8%.

In a added adumbration of acute all-around systemic risk, German bund yields sank 11 bps this anniversary to 0.35%, the low aback September 4th. With Italian yields crumbling alone four bps (to 3.45%), the advance to bunds widened seven bps to 310 bps. Portuguese yields alone 11 bps to 1.96%, and Spanish yields fell 17 bps to 1.57%. UK 10-year yields sank 19 bps to 1.38%, the low aback August.

It absolutely has all the actualization of band markets alpha to abatement bifurcation of the alpha of the all-around Bubble. WTI awkward beneath addition $1.52 to $67.62, a two-month low. The dollar abject added 0.7% to 96.412, a a 16-month high. The British concoction beneath 1.9%, the Norwegian krone 1.6%, the Swedish krona 1.6%, the New Zealand dollar 1.4%, the South African ran 1.3% and the euro 1.0%.

October 26 – Bloomberg (Jacob Bourne): “Inflation expectations are aerobatics in the U.S. band market, suggesting traders are abashed that the Federal Reserve’s bread-and-er activity is acceptable too bound – potentially by a quarter-point – amidst the accelerate in equities. The five-year breakeven rate, which represents band investors’ appearance on the anniversary aggrandizement bulk through 2023, alone Friday to 1.88%, the everyman aback January.”

The banderole for the aloft article was “Inflation Bets Are Tanking, Assuming Band Traders See a Bound Fed.” Ten-year Treasury yields did bead 12 bps this anniversary to 3.08%. But the overarching affair is ascendance systemic accident associated with a aged all-around Bubble – not a “tight Fed.” The Fed would adopt to abide “data dependent.” The aboriginal apprehend on Q3 GDP came in at 3.5%, with Claimed Consumption growing at a 4.0% bulk (strongest aback Q4 ’14). A cardinal of Fed admiral this anniversary downplayed U.S. banal bazaar weakness.

I’m not at all abiding Fed admiral acknowledge their predicament. The all-around Bubble is bursting, yet the U.S. abridgement at this point maintains a adapted arch of steam. Band markets are bound adjusting to the alteration all-around backdrop. Treasuries accept had added of a calm focus but this has amorphous to shift. And accepting apparent animation until recently, clutter bonds (NYSEARCA:HYG) beneath 1.1% over the accomplished two weeks. With yields jumping this anniversary to a two-year high, clutter band funds suffered net outflows of $2.364 billion.

October 26 – Bloomberg (Adam Tempkin): “One of Wall Street’s go-to shelters in times of agitation is assuming cracks as ample apropos accumulation up. Bouts of affairs accept hit bonds backed by mortgages, auto loans and acclaim agenda payments – about havens during periods of accent – amidst the annihilation in cyberbanking markets this month. Certain sectors of alleged securitized loans are ‘experiencing some headwinds,’ said Neil Aggarwal, arch portfolio administrator and arch of trading at Semper Capital. ‘A aggregate of rates, earnings, and all-around apropos are accepting an advancing impact.’ The debt chic usually does bigger than accumulated bonds during bazaar agitation because the antithesis are affiliated to customer payments, rather than aggregation performance, and about accept banknote cushions to blot antecedent losses. But contempo weakness highlights how the breadth may be clumsy to absolve off the anarchy enveloping added assets.”

Financial altitude accept now amorphous to advisedly bind at the “Core.” I doubtable de-risking/de-leveraging dynamics accept amorphous to disentangle throughout U.S. accumulated Credit. There are additionally breach of abbreviating clamminess altitude in securitized Credit. These are important developments.

October 26 – Bloomberg (Suzy Waite and Nishant Kumar): “Hedge funds application computer-driven models to chase big bazaar trends accept been whiplashed as animation has spiked, amidst the better casualties of a banal assault that has accelerated worldwide. Funds accepted as article trading advisers, or CTAs, accept commonly cloistral investors during bazaar selloffs such as the all-around cyberbanking crisis, abnormally aback algebraic models appearance a bright or arresting trend. But this time, they’ve been clumsy to cross aciculate reversals in asset prices… ‘It’s a bloodbath out there beyond about every activity with actual few exceptions,’ said Vaqar Zuberi, arch of barrier funds at Mirabaud Asset Management… ‘CTAs accept been bent by a abracadabra with ascendance ante and equities plummeting,’ said Zuberi. ‘There’s alone one avenue and anybody is aggravating to avenue now because the models are cogent them to do so.’ Computer-driven barrier funds were already headed for their affliction year anytime afore this month’s volatility…”

As an industry, barrier funds were already advancing for achievement above-mentioned to the contempo bender of “Risk Off.” Abounding funds accept apparent 2018 assets bound morph into losses. There is now the audible accident of ascendance losses into anniversary dispatch cogent industry outflows. This activating elevates the allowance of a destabilizing de-risking/deleveraging dynamic.

Treasuries provided somewhat of a barrier adjoin equities losses this week. Yet, overall, markets accept been decidedly annoying to accepted “risk parity” barrier armamentarium strategies. Leveraged portfolios of stocks, government antithesis and fixed-income are not experiencing the about-face allowances they’ve enjoyed for best of the accomplished decade (or two). Losses and accepted achievement animation will force these strategies to deleverage, with abrogating after-effects for clamminess beyond assorted markets.

With de-risking/deleveraging accepting drive globally – and some of the big all-around “banks” beneath burden – it’s reasonable to activate advertent counter-party risk. And anytime markets alpha advertence crumbling clamminess and breach risk, my fears acknowledgment to the derivatives markets. How abundant bazaar “risk insurance” has been awash by strategies that plan on ambiguity this accident by affairs into crumbling markets? Stated differently, what is the accident that derivatives “insurance” “dynamically (delta) hedged” by assistant models could arise into self-reinforcing advertise programs, illiquidity and bazaar dislocation?

October 26 – Cyberbanking Times (Alfred Liu and Benjamin Robertson): “Mario Draghi has pushed aback adjoin the beachcomber of political attacks on the world’s axial banks, admonishing that the ascendance burden could advance to lower advance and attenuate a basal band of defence adjoin approaching cyberbanking crises. Speaking aloof hours afterwards he was criticised by Italy’s agent prime abbot as ‘poisoning the climate’ adjoin Rome, the European Axial Coffer admiral alleged on legislators about the apple to instead ‘protect the independence’ of rate-setters. ‘The axial coffer should not be accountable to . . . political ascendancy and should be chargeless to accept the instruments that are best adapted to bear its mandate,’ Mr Draghi said in a thinly-veiled admonishment to his built-in country.”

I see things analogously to the abundant statesman, the ailing Paul Volcker: “A hell of a blend in every direction.” The banal bazaar is alone a few weeks accomplished best highs, yet the finger-pointing has already amorphous in earnest. The Powell Fed anxiously adopting ante aloof accomplished 2.0% is absolutely not amenable for the world’s problems. A decade of axial bank-induced bread-and-er inflation, able-bodied that’s a altered story. Added than a brace decades of axial coffer assay and inflationism, now you’re on to something. It was consistently activity to Arise Home to Roost. That’s the acrid absoluteness that no one was accommodating to contemplate.

Draghi: “The axial coffer should not be accountable to… political ascendancy and should be chargeless to accept the instruments that are best adapted to bear its mandate.”

It’s antic to accord a baby accumulation of all-around axial bankers the adeptness to do Whatever They Appetite in the name of carrying on some approximate abject akin of customer bulk inflation. To actualize $14 TN of “money” and absolve it aloft all-around antithesis markets is assuredly history’s best adventuresome bread-and-er mismanagement.

Inevitable Blowback has commenced. “The dog ate my homework.” “The aggrandizement authorization fabricated us do it.” With a abounding year actual in his term, Draghi won’t be administering Bernanke’s acceptable fortune. This accomplished celebrated bread-and-er acceding will be unraveling while he’s still on watch. But, afresh again, the Trump administering already has its scapegoat. Perhaps the accomplished apple will accusation Administrator Powell – or the man that appointed him.

Following a alarming trajectory, things somehow about-face added advancing by the week. Political burlesque has breakable into a surreal quagmire. And to see this bulk of assay and abhorrence at this cycle’s bang appearance should accept us all cerebration anxiously about what the approaching holds. As a nation, we are alarmingly unprepared. And it’s aback to this aforementioned affair that’s afflicted me for a cardinal of years now:

Bubbles are consistently mechanisms of abundance redistribution and destruction. Akin to axial banking, they can administer immeasurable abuse and somehow avert culpability. As we’ve already witnessed as a society, they wreak attenuate – and, later, added apparent – havoc. And the accepted alarming Bubble has been on such an aberrant all-around scale. Acrid geopolitical fallout is unavoidable. For me, it’s been alarming for a while. It’s aloof added apparent now. We’ll see if the midterms can accommodate an catalyst for a bazaar rally. If not, this has all the appearances of article that could about-face acerb quickly.

The S&P 500 alone 3.9% (down 0.6% y-t-d), and the Dow fell 3.0% (down 0.1%). The Utilities beneath 1.9% (up 1.2%). The Banks sank 5.0% (down 11.1%), and the Broker/Dealers fell 4.8% (down 5.7%). The Transports alone 4.5% (down 6.1%). The S&P 400 Midcaps alone 4.1% (up bottomward 5.5%), and the baby cap Russell 2000 fell 3.8% (down 3.4%). The Nasdaq100 beneath 3.6% (up 7.1%). The Semiconductors sank 5.9% (down 8.0%). The Biotechs were airtight 7.1% (up 7.5%). Although banknote acquired $6, the HUI gold abject sank 7.0% (down 24.8%).

Three-month Treasury bill ante concluded the anniversary at 2.28%. Two-year government yields alone 10 bps to 2.81% (up 92bps y-t-d). Five-year T-note yields fell 14 bps to 2.91% (up 70bps). Ten-year Treasury yields alone 12 bps to 3.08% (up 67bps). Connected band yields beneath seven bps to 3.31% (up 57bps). Criterion Fannie Mae MBS yields fell eight bps to 3.93% (up 93bps).

Greek 10-year yields beneath bristles bps to 4.28% (up 20bps y-t-d). Ten-year Portuguese yields fell 11 bps to 1.91% (down 4bps). Italian 10-year yields beneath four bps to 3.45% (up 143bps). Spain’s 10-year yields sank 17 bps to 1.57% (unchanged). German bund yields alone 11 bps to 0.35% (down 8bps). French yields fell 10 bps to 0.74% (down 5bps). The French to German 10-year band advance widened one to 39 bps. U.K. 10-year bizarre yields sank 19 bps to 1.38% (up 19bps). U.K.’s FTSE equities abject beneath 1.6% (down 9.7%).

Japan’s Nikkei 225 equities abject sank 6.0% (down 6.9% y-t-d). Japanese 10-year “JGB” yields beneath four bps to 0.11% (up 7bps). France’s CAC40 beneath 2.3% (down 6.5%). The German DAX equities abject absent 3.1% (down 13.3%). Spain’s IBEX 35 equities abject fell 1.8% (down 13.1%). Italy’s FTSE MIB abject beneath 2.1% (down 14.5%). EM equities were mostly lower. Brazil’s Bovespa abject acquired 1.6% (up 12.0%), while Mexico’s Bolsa fell 3.3% (down 7.0%). South Korea’s Kospi abject sank 6.0% (down 17.8%). India’s Sen equities abject fell 2.8% (down 2.1%). China’s Shanghai Barter rose 1.9% (down 21.4%). Turkey’s Borsa Istanbul National 100 abject sank 6.1% (down 21.5%). Russia’s MICEX equities abject fell 2.2% (up 8.7%).

Investment-grade band funds saw inflows of $415 million, while clutter band funds saw outflows jump to $2.364 billion (from Lipper).

Freddie Mac 30-year anchored mortgage ante added a abject point to 4.86% (up 92bps y-o-y). Fifteen-year ante acquired three bps to 4.29% (up 104bps). Five-year amalgam ARM ante added four bps to 4.14% (up 93bps). Bankrate’s assay of colossal mortgage borrowing costs had 30-yr anchored ante bottomward two bps to 4.82% (up 62bps).

Federal Reserve Acclaim aftermost anniversary beneath $2.6bn to $4.137 TN. Over the accomplished year, Fed Acclaim apprenticed $291bn, or 6.6%. Fed Acclaim aggrandized $1.328 TN, or 47%, over the accomplished 312 weeks. Elsewhere, Fed backing for adopted owners of Treasury, Agency Debt added $0.9bn aftermost anniversary to $3.434 TN. “Custody holdings” were up $69bn y-o-y, or 2.1%.

M2 (narrow) “money” accumulation jumped $25.9bn aftermost anniversary to $14.262 TN. “Narrow money” acquired $520bn, or 3.8%, over the accomplished year. For the week, Bill added $1.4bn. Absolute Checkable Deposits surged $38.3bn, while Savings Deposits fell $23.3bn. Baby Time Deposits added $4.6bn. Retail Money Funds acquired $5.1bn.

Total money bazaar armamentarium assets rose $9.7bn to $2.882 TN. Money Funds acquired $134bn y-o-y, or 4.9%.

Total Bartering Paper added $5.2bn to $1.088 TN. CP acquired $21bn y-o-y, or 1.9%.

October 23 – Bloomberg (Emma Dai): “Dollar-yuan trading aggregate surpassed the agitated levels apparent during the 2015 abasement on Wednesday, amidst signs China is aggravating to anticipate its bill from abrasion too fast. Aggregate was up 27% at $66 billion…, the best aback Bloomberg began accumulation the abstracts in 2014… ‘Authorities may accept offered dollar clamminess to yuan sellers in the market, so the yuan wouldn’t abate too fast amidst affairs pressures,’ said Li Liuyang, a cyberbanking bazaar analyst at China Merchants Coffer Co. The Chinese bill may face a lot added burden if it calmly breach accomplished the 6.95 per dollar level, Li said.”

The U.S. dollar abject acquired 0.7% to 96.412 (up 4.7% y-t-d). For the anniversary on the upside, the Brazilian absolute added 2.0% and the Japanese yen acquired 0.6%. For the anniversary on the downside, the British concoction beneath 1.9%, the Norwegian krone 1.6%, the Swedish krona 1.6%, the New Zealand dollar 1.4%, the South African rand 1.3%, the euro 1.0%, the South African rand 0.9%, the Australian dollar 0.4%, the Mexican peso 0.4%, the Singapore dollar 0.2% and the Swiss franc 0.1%. The Chinese renminbi beneath 0.21% adjoin the dollar this anniversary (down 6.29% y-t-d).

The Goldman Sachs Commodities Abject beneath 2.0% (up 5.1% y-t-d). Spot Gold added 0.5% to $1,233 (down 5.4%). Silver acquired 0.5% to $14.725 (down 14.1%). Awkward fell $1.52 to $67.60 (up 12%). Gasoline sank 5.1% (up 1%), and Natural Gas beneath 1.5% (up 8%). Copper fell 1.0% (down 17%). Wheat added 0.2% (up 18%). Corn added 0.3% (up 5%).

October 24 – Cyberbanking Times (Isabelle Mateos y Lago): “The European Agency has alone Italy’s abstract budget. Valdis Dombrovskis, the commission’s vice-president amenable for the euro, said this anniversary that Rome’s arguments for accretion its bread-and-er arrears were ‘not convincing’. The Italians had been warned. But the Bristles Star/League affiliation government about absitively to accompany a bread-and-er amplification instead of the acclimation assigned by European rules. The account aims for a bread-and-er arrears of 2.4% – not astronomic in itself, but it is three times as ample as the antecedent government’s commitment… The band market’s acknowledgment suggests concern, but not absolute alarm. This may not last. The adventure brings aback memories of the activity that took abode in 2015 amidst the afresh adopted Greek government and European officials.”

October 24 – Bloomberg (Joe Easton): “When the aing abatement occurs, beware acquiescent investors. That’s the admonishing from JPMorgan…, which says $7.4 abundance of assets managed by acquiescent funds about the apple – concentrated in large-cap and U.S. small- and mid-cap stocks – will aggravate a assault during the aing recession. ‘This is article account acquainted at this backward date of a aeon accustomed that acquiescent advance seems to be trend following, with inflows blame equities college during balderdash markets, and outflows acceptable to aggrandize their abatement during corrections,’ analysts Eduardo Lecubarri and Nishchay Dayal wrote… Acquiescent advance wasn’t a big disciplinarian of disinterestedness allotment in the aftermost recession, they say. Aback in 2007, the strategy’s all-embracing admeasurement amounted to about 26% of actively managed ample and all-cap funds’ assets beneath administering (AUM) in the U.S., and about 15% alfresco of the U.S. Eleven years later, those abstracts accept jumped to 83% and 53%…”

October 23 – Bloomberg (Mike Dorning): “President Donald Trump stepped up his attacks on Federal Reserve Administrator Jerome Powell, adage he ‘maybe’ abjure appointing him and argument aback asked beneath what affairs he would blaze the axial coffer chief. About a year aback nominating Powell to the post, Trump told the Wall Street Journal… that he was carefully sending a absolute bulletin that he capital lower absorption rates, alike as he accustomed that the axial coffer is an absolute entity. Trump said in the account that Powell ‘almost looks like he’s blessed adopting absorption rates’ and that it’s ‘too aboriginal to tell, but maybe’ he abjure appointing him.”

October 23 – Cyberbanking Times (Ted Kemp and Joanna Tan): “President Donald Trump anon accused Federal Reserve Administrator Jerome Powell of endangering the U.S. abridgement by adopting absorption rates, according to The Wall Street Journal. ‘I’m aloof adage this: I’m actual black with the Fed because Obama had aught absorption rates,’ Trump told the Journal… ‘Every time we do article great, he raises the absorption rates.'”

October 25 – Wall Street Journal (Bob Davis and Lingling Wei): “The U.S. is abnegation to resume barter negotiations with China until Beijing comes up with a accurate angle to abode Washington’s complaints about afflicted technology transfers and added bread-and-er issues, said admiral on both sides… The impasse threatens to attenuate a affair amidst Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping appointed for the end of November at the Accumulation of 20 leaders summit… U.S. businesses accept been counting on acceptable advance at the affair for the Trump administering to append its plan to access tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese imports to 25% on Jan. 1, from the accepted 10%. Such a move would be a abstract to U.S. importers and consumers.”

October 21 – Axios (Jonathan Swan): “President Trump has no ambition of abatement his tariffs on China, according to three sources with adeptness of his clandestine conversations. Instead, these sources say he wants Chinese leaders to feel added affliction from his tariffs – which he believes charge added time to absolutely bang in. What we’re hearing: ‘He wants them to ache more’ from tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods, said a antecedent with absolute adeptness of Trump’s thinking, and the admiral believes the best his tariffs last, the added advantage he’ll have.”

October 23 – CNBC (Liz Moyer): “President Donald Trump will accommodated with China’s president, Xi Jinping, aing ages at the G-20 acme in Buenos Aires, Argentina, according to Larry Kudlow… Kudlow told reporters… that the two leaders ‘will accommodated for a bit’ but didn’t accept added details. Any affair amidst the two comes at a time of ascendance tensions over trade. Best recently, the Trump administering put tariffs on some $200 billion of Chinese imports, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs on U.S. goods. The two nations accept struggled to arise to the negotiating table over trade, as the U.S. raises apropos about bookish acreage and a addition barter deficit. ‘Our asks are on the table, I’d adulation to see them respond,’ Kudlow said… ‘Thus far they haven’t.'”

October 22 – Bloomberg: “U.S. Admiral Donald Trump’s top bread-and-er adviser accused China of abnegation to appoint on barter issues in a Cyberbanking Times interview, while a abstracted abode said Trump believes it will booty added time for tariffs to bite. ‘We gave them a abundant account of asks, apropos technology for example, [which] basically hasn’t afflicted for bristles or six months. The botheration with the adventure is that they don’t respond. Nothing. Nada,’ National Bread-and-er Council Administrator Larry Kudlow told the Cyberbanking Times… ‘It’s absolutely the admiral and the Chinese Communist party, they accept to accomplish a decision, and so far they accept not, or they accept fabricated a adaptation not to do anything, nothing. I’ve never apparent annihilation like it.'”

October 22 – Reuters (Jeff Mason): “U.S. Admiral Donald Trump, speaking to reporters at the White House as he larboard on a attack cruise to Texas, said… his administering planned to aftermath a resolution aural two weeks calling for a 10% tax cut for middle-income people. ‘We’re putting in a resolution ancient in the aing anniversary or week-and-a-half, two weeks… We’re giving a middle-income tax abridgement of about 10%. We’re accomplishing it now for middle-income people.'”

October 21 – Reuters (Lesley Wroughton): “U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin absolved apropos that China’s weakest bread-and-er advance aback the all-around cyberbanking crisis could discharge into added arising markets and destabilize U.S. cyberbanking markets… ‘I am not anxious about that destabilizing our markets,’ Mnuchin said… ‘Broadly, adapted now, I don’t see a bane risk,’ he added.”

October 24 – Bloomberg (Erik Wasson): “The administrator of the Senate Accounts Board stood by Federal Reserve Administrator Jerome Powell afterwards Admiral Donald Trump said he ‘maybe’ abjure appointing him because the Fed has added absorption rates. Asked whether Powell and the Fed are accomplishing a acceptable job, Senator Orrin Hatch said…:’I anticipate so. I anticipate they all are, to be honest with you. I don’t accede with aggregate they do but they are still appealing acceptable people.’ Hatch of Utah… stood by the Fed’s independence. ‘They accept a adapted to act the way they do,’ Hatch said.”

October 24 – Reuters (Kristen Haunss): “Regulators are anxious about a actual alleviation of acceding and weaknesses in the accident administering of the US$1.1trn US leveraged adaptation market, a Federal Reserve official said… Covenant-lite loans, incremental accessories and alleged addbacks to antithesis afore interest, tax, abrasion and acquittal (EBITDA) are three areas regulators are absorption their attention, according to… Todd Vermilyea, arch accessory administrator at the Federal Reserve… ‘The attendance of these practices, abnormally afterwards the adapted controls, may advance to assurance and acumen concerns,’ he said. The leveraged adaptation market, which affairs companies… has afresh been abounding with advancing deals featuring aerial debt levels and apart terms.”

October 24 – Reuters (Jonathan Spicer): “A ‘prolonged’ abatement in U.S. banal markets could eventually activate to counterbalance on the U.S. economy, admitting there are no signs of bankrupt acclaim or a awaiting recession so far, Cleveland Federal Reserve Admiral Loretta Mester said… ‘If there was a abiding abatement in the bazaar and a pullback in accident beyond the lath with a blurred of acclaim extension, afresh of advance you’ll have’ an aftereffect on the data, Mester… told the Forecasters Club…”

October 23 – CNBC (Steve Matthews): “Federal Reserve Coffer of Atlanta Admiral Raphael Bostic said he supports added bit-by-bit absorption bulk hikes and warned that active the abridgement ‘hot’ with too abundant bang could end in a recession affliction lower-income Americans. ‘Unless the abstracts allocution me out of it, I appearance a continued, bit-by-bit abatement of activity adaptation as adapted until we get to a aloof activity rate,’ Bostic said… While there’s ambiguity about aloof – the akin of ante that neither dispatch up nor apathetic bottomward bread-and-er activity – he said ‘my appraisal is that we are still a few bulk hikes away.'”

October 23 – CNBC (Jeff Cox): “The accident of a able abridgement overheating is the acumen the Fed should stick to its agenda of absorption bulk increases, Atlanta Federal Reserve Admiral Raphael Bostic said… With the abandoned bulk active at 3.7% and appreciably beneath what is advised abounding employment, the Fed has to counterbalance the risks of abbreviating too bound and asthmatic off what has been a able-bodied bread-and-er run, and cat-and-mouse too connected and risking delinquent bulk pressures. ‘And while I activity with that choice, one affair seems clear: there is little acumen to accumulate our bottom on the gas pedal,’ Bostic said…”

October 24 – Reuters (Ann Saphir): “The U.S. Federal Reserve should abide adopting absorption ante at atomic two but apparently three added times afore assessing whether added bulk hikes to arrest advance are warranted, Dallas Federal Reserve Coffer Admiral Robert Kaplan said… ‘My abject case for 2019 is to gradually and patiently accession the federal funds bulk into a ambit of 2.5 to 2.75% or, added likely, into a ambit of 2.75 to 3%,’ Kaplan said…”

October 23 – CNBC (Jeff Cox): “Former Federal Reserve Administrator Paul Volcker, who has accomplished fable cachet in the apple of axial banking, isn’t optimistic about accepted conditions. Aback Volcker looks about now, he sees ‘a hell of a blend in every direction,’ including a abridgement of basal account for government institutions, a accepted Fed that seems to be afterward a absolutely approximate criterion and a ‘swamp’ in Washington run by plutocrats. ‘At atomic the aggressive still has all the respect. But I don’t know, how can you run a capitalism aback cipher believes in the administering of the country?'”

October 25 – Bloomberg (Jenny Leonard, Sarah Foster and Katia Dmitrieva): “The U.S. merchandise-trade arrears widened to a almanac in September while orders for business accessories beneath for a additional month, abacus to signs that an ascendance assessment war is starting to constrain bread-and-er growth. The gap in appurtenances barter rose to $76 billion from $75.5 billion as assets in imports outpaced exports…”

October 25 – Wall Street Journal (Kate Davidson): “A abrupt auto in government spending, decidedly in defense, has helped ammunition a ample dispatch in U.S. bread-and-er advance in the accomplished year and a half, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis… The U.S. abridgement has broadcast at a 2.9% anniversary bulk aback April of 2017… That advance bulk is faster than the 2.2% anniversary advance bulk amidst mid-2009-when the amplification started-and April 2017. Faster government spending accounted for about bisected of the acceleration, according to The Wall Street Journal analysis.”

October 25 – Bloomberg (Lisa Lee, Jesse Hamilton, Sally Bakewell and Craig Torres): “In the Trump era, Wall Street banks accept been testing the banned of what they can get abroad with in axle chancy loans assimilate awful accountable companies. They may accept assuredly beyond a line. A top Federal Reserve official accursed a attenuate accessible admonishing Wednesday, adage that banks arise to be block added alarming deals and aloft protections adjoin borrowers activity bust. ‘There may be a actual alleviation of acceding and weaknesses in accident management,’ Todd Vermilyea, the Fed’s arch of accident surveillance and data, told bankers… ‘Some institutions could be demography on accident afterwards the adapted mitigating controls.’ The warnings arise afterwards watchdogs accept spent best of the year cogent aplomb about the bloom of the $1.3 abundance bazaar for leveraged loans.”

October 24 – Reuters (Jason Lange): “U.S. factories accept aloft their prices because of tariffs, although aggrandizement has appeared bashful or abstinent in best genitalia of the country, the Federal Reserve said… The U.S. axial coffer additionally said in its latest ‘Beige Book’ abode that the abridgement appeared to be growing abundantly to moderately and that businesses beyond a cardinal of industries had appear activity shortages.”

October 24 – Reuters (Lucia Mutikani): “Sales of new U.S. single-family homes fell to a a two-year low in September and abstracts for the above-mentioned three months was revised lower, the latest breach that ascendance mortgage ante and college prices were undercutting the apartment market. …New home sales alone 5.5% to a seasonally adapted anniversary bulk of 553,000 units aftermost month. That was the everyman akin aback December 2016. August’s sales clip was revised bottomward to 585,000 units from the advanced appear 629,000 units.”

October 24 – Reuters (Diana Olick): “Builders warned of a arrest in home sales. And they were adapted – except the numbers are alike worse than expected. Sales of anew congenital homes alone 5.5% in September compared with August, and were 13% lower compared with a year ago, according to the U.S. Census. This was able-bodied beneath predictions, alike with college ante factored in.”

October 23 – CNBC (David Randall): “The accessible money may be over. U.S. aggregation antithesis advance is slowing afterwards a bonanza alpha to the year, and the absoluteness of an ascendance barter war amidst two of the world’s better economies is starting to counterbalance on companies alignment from Caterpillar Inc to Ford Motor Co. While antithesis advance is still aerial at 22% so far this quarter, the bulk by which S&P 500 abject companies are assault analyst estimates is about bisected of what it was during the aboriginal quarter, according to Refinitiv data.”

October 22 – Wall Street Journal (Rachel Louise Ensign): “There’s beneath chargeless money to go about for banks. Afterwards about three years of bulk increases from the Federal Reserve, barter are affairs billions of dollars out of accounts that don’t acquire absorption and putting their money into higher-yielding alternatives. That will coil banks’ adeptness to abound profits activity forward. The four better U.S. banks… appear a accumulated 5% bead in U.S. deposits that acquire no absorption in the third division compared with a year ago.”

October 26 – Bloomberg (Romy Varghese): “The bread-and-er adverse amidst California Governor Jerry Brown and Gavin Newsom, the frontrunner to alter him, may best be apparent through a decades-old affairs to activity blight. Adverse a $25 billion account deficit, Brown entered appointment in 2011 with a cost-cutting plan that included killing hundreds of redevelopment agencies. Eight years later, Newsom is assertive to accede an about $9 billion surplus. One of his attack planks: accompany the agencies back. That affectionate of alteration is authoritative band investors in boom-and-bust California nervous. Newsom, a Democrat who is apparent as benumbed to achievement over a Republican businessman, would accept to antithesis attack promises adjoin the blackmail of a acknowledgment to massive deficits.”

October 22 – CNBC (Brian Schwartz): “Chinese government leaders accept a bulletin for American investors: They’re not abashed of a barter war with the United States. On Monday in Beijing, Zhang Qingli, a arch affiliate of a Chinese board tasked with accomplishment alliances with added nations, told a baby accumulation of U.S. business leaders, lobbyists and accessible relations admiral that China refuses to be abashed by an advancing barter war with the Trump administration. ‘China never wants a barter war with anybody, not to acknowledgment the U.S., who has been a connected appellation cardinal partner, but we additionally do not abhorrence such a war,’ Zhang… ‘The U.S. ancillary has abandoned a accord with China afterwards assorted circuit of consultations, insisting on waging a barter war adjoin China and continuing to amplify it. In response, China is larboard with no added advantage but to accomplish all-important adverse actions,’ Zhang said…”

October 21 – Bloomberg: “Chinese stocks jumped the best aback March 2016 afterwards top admiral confused to coffer up the abridgement and activity abutment to the advancing clandestine sector. The Shanghai Composite Abject surged 4.1% on Monday and extending Friday’s 2.6% gain… Admiral Xi Jinping vowed ‘unwavering’ abutment for non-state firms over the weekend, the country’s banal exchanges committed to advice administer share-pledge risks, and the government appear a plan to cut claimed assets taxes. That follows a attenuate accommodating accomplishment from top cyberbanking admiral on Friday to abutment what’s been the world’s affliction assuming disinterestedness market.”

October 24 – Wall Street Journal (Mike Bird): “Chinese stocks are broadly acclimated as accessory for loans. That introduces added vulnerabilities to a falling market, so authorities are now attempting to accommodate the risks. About 10% of shares in acreage China are acclimated as accessory for loans by ample shareholders. The convenance has boomed alike as allowance lending, addition anatomy of share-backed borrowing, has decreased. Allowance lending helped ammunition a bazaar selloff in 2015, as retail investors were afflicted to dump shares to awning their losses. ‘Users of cyberbanking advantage in equities accept confused from retail investors in the 2015 adventure to aloft shareholders in the anatomy of stock-pledged loans,’ Goldman Sachs analysts said…”

October 22 – Bloomberg: “China’s axial coffer affairs to accord 10 billion yuan ($1.4bn) to China Band Insurance Co. to accommodate acclaim abutment for debt sales by clandestine enterprises, according to bodies accustomed with the situation. The money is allotment of the plan the People’s Coffer of China announced… to abutment clandestine firms arising debt. The axial coffer didn’t accommodate any accommodation on how the plan would work, its size, or aback it would begin. Admiral additionally hadn’t responded to assorted requests for comment. China’s announcements… of alpha measures to affluence the allotment strains of clandestine companies came afterwards top admiral commented afresh in an attack to restore aplomb in the world’s second-largest economy. The axial coffer common Admiral Xi Jinping’s vows to activity ‘unwavering’ abutment for the clandestine sector, which has been best afflicted by the government’s attack to barrier debt and cut adumbration banking.”

October 21 – Bloomberg (Connor Cislo): “As China braces for the abounding appulse of Admiral Donald Trump’s barter war, it’s gluttonous to apprentice from Japan’s bread-and-er battles with the U.S. during the Reagan years. Chinese officials, business bodies and academics accept been acute Japanese counterparts to allotment adventures from the 1980s, aback Tokyo activate itself in Washington’s crosshairs as its huge barter surplus and accretion automated adeptness sparked anxiety in America. While there are differences amidst Japan’s ascendance as a bartering adeptness a bearing ago and China’s actualization today as a abeyant superpower, Japan additionally has acquaint for its acquaintance in ambidextrous with ascendance debt, asset-price bubbles and an crumbling population.”

October 19 – Bloomberg: “China’s home-price assets slowed in September, breaking a half-year band of accelerating aggrandizement in the apartment market. New-home prices acquired 1% from the antecedent month… That compared with a 1.5% access in August. The Chinese government is acceptable to accumulate a bound anchor on the acreage bazaar at atomic until aing year, admitting a about-face in activity focus from deleveraging to acknowledging slower advance beneath ascendance barter tensions, according to economists including Basal Economics… ‘A bazaar alteration has started, as sales accept assuredly cooled,’ Yang Kewei, Shanghai-based analysis administrator at China Absolute Estate Information Corp., said… ‘A aqueduct in residential purchasing adeptness has been apparent in some cities, abnormally those in additional tiers.'”

October 21 – Bloomberg: “China’s access of bounded band arising is declared to armamentarium roads, affordable homes and added basement developments that will advice abutment its abatement economy. But there don’t assume to be abundant projects about to absorb the money on. Provincial authorities had by the end of September already aloft 92% of the 1.35 abundance yuan ($195bn) account of appropriate basement bonds that the axial government has targeted for the absolute year. The bonds… are allotment of an attack to adverse the bread-and-er arrest by costs projects from railways to ecology accessories and affordable homes.”

October 24 – Cyberbanking Times (Blake Schmidt and Frederik Balfour): “China Evergrande Group, the country’s best accountable developer, has a lot added assignment to do as it tries to win over investors with affairs to abate advantage and alter its business. One key affair as Evergrande’s banal slides adjoin a 15-month low and its dollar bonds tumble: the company’s connected assurance on China’s adumbration cyberbanking system. The… developer… cut its 671 billion yuan ($97bn) debt bulk by 8.4% in the aboriginal half… But the aggregation has had beneath success abbreviation its acknowledgment to high-cost assurance financing: it accounted for about 45% of Evergrande’s absolute borrowing at the end of June, the better allocation aback at atomic 2010.”

October 23 – Bloomberg: “Corporate debt investors abyssal an accretion minefield of band delinquencies in China are extensive for a ambiguity apparatus agnate to credit-default swaps that was aftermost acclimated added than two years ago. Aback September, China Band Insurance Co. and Coffer of Hangzhou Co. accept awash four instruments alleged acclaim accident acknowledgment warrants, which assure creditors adjoin defaults of the basal debt. These accident ambiguity instruments are set to become added accepted as band failures accumulation up, according to Golden Acclaim Rating International Co. Defaults accept coiled to a almanac 66.1 billion yuan ($9.5bn) this year as China’s deleveraging attack bites and bread-and-er headwinds concoction broker confidence. That’s fabricated adopting funds afterwards resorting to acclaim aegis tougher for some companies. Aftermost week, the better accompaniment coffer threw a buoy to cash-strapped clandestine firms by accretion a debt-to-equity bandy program.”

October 26 – Bloomberg (Rachel Gamarski and Mario Sergio Lima): “The champ of Brazil’s presidential acclamation this Sunday will accede a near-record accrue of accessible debt. The Brazilian government’s liabilities totaled 3.8 abundance reais ($1 trillion) in September, the Treasury reported… While that’s bottomward a cleft from the antecedent month, it’s still about alert what is was alone 5 years ago.”

October 26 – Bloomberg (Kartik Goyal): “India’s foreign-exchange affluence are shrinking fast and may anon adeptness a akin that could bassinet the axial bank’s adeptness to avert the rupee, according to Coffer of America Merrill Lynch… From a almanac $426 billion in mid-April, affluence accept collapsed by $32 billion as the Reserve Coffer of India awash dollars to axis losses in Asia’s worst-performing currency.”

Central Coffer Watch:

October 24 – Cyberbanking Times (Claire Jones): “The European Axial Coffer is adverse austere challenges: ascendance tensions amidst Brussels and Rome, doubts about bread-and-er activity and worries about Britain aition out of the EU afterwards a deal. A carefully watched poll of purchasing managers… additionally showed that the region’s businesses are advancing to arise to acceding with added all-around barter tensions – and that the export-led arrest is alpha to affect the abundant beyond casework sector… The ECB still insists it will arrest its €2.5tn quantitative abatement programme – which played a basal role in fuelling the eurozone accretion – by the end of the year. It argues that advance is still abundantly able and broad-based to coin advanced with its affairs to appearance out QE – the artefact of backbreaking negotiations aural the ECB itself.”

October 24 – Reuters (David Ljunggren and Steve Scherer): “The Coffer of Canada… aloft absorption ante as accepted and said it adeptness dispatch up the clip of approaching hikes accustomed the abridgement was active at about abounding accommodation and did not charge any stimulus. The axial bank, which has now aerial ante bristles times aback July 2017, additionally hailed the signing of a new North American barter pact…”

October 24 – Bloomberg (Rupert Rowling): “Central banks are set to access their purchases of gold in 2018 for the aboriginal time in bristles years as eastern European and Asian countries seek to alter their reserves. Net purchases of gold by axial banks are anticipation to dispatch to 450 metric bags this year, up from 375 bags in 2017, according to consultancy Metals Focus Ltd. That will be the aboriginal access aback 2013, aback banks additional their backing by 646 tons, the best for several decades.”

October 23 – The Guardian (Daniel Boffey): “The European agency is at loggerheads with Rome afterwards demography the aberrant footfall of abnegation the Italian government’s abstract account in a move advised to force the country’s autonomous government to rein in its spending. Italy was presented with a three-week borderline to accommodate a revised cyberbanking plan… The commissioner, a aloft prime abbot of Latvia, threatened to activate a activity that could advance to the EU arty fines on Italy unless the new government reconsiders. Dombrovskis accused Rome of ‘openly and carefully activity adjoin commitments made’. ‘Today, for the aboriginal time, the agency is answerable to appeal a euro breadth country to alter its abstract bread-and-er plan… But we see no addition … Breaking rules can be appetizing on a aboriginal look. It can accommodate the apparition of breaking free. It can be appetizing to try to cure debt with added debt. But, at some point, the debt weights too abundant and you end up accepting no abandon at all.'”

October 23 – Cyberbanking Times (Robert Smith): “Matteo Salvini, the baton of Italy’s hard-right League party, has adopted band bazaar accent to actualize an able new circuit on the archetypal “enemies of the people” trope: the ‘lords of the spread’. The advance in catechism is, of course, the aberration amidst the crop on the Italian 10-year government band and its German equivalent. This gap has soared to levels aftermost apparent bisected a decade ago as the account stand-off amidst Rome and Brussels escalates. Italy’s autonomous government has leapt on the band market’s attraction with this accident admeasurement to adjure up images of atramentous and adverse alien forces. With his allocution of not angle to the will of the ‘lords of the spread’, Mr Salvini is invoking the angel of faceless band traders aggravating to breach the government.”

October 23 – Cyberbanking Times (Miles Johnson and Michael Peel): “Giuseppe Conte, Italy’s prime minister, hailed Russia as a ‘strategic partner’ as he met Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Wednesday – the acme of a ages of adept overtures by Rome’s autonomous coalition, which has ramped up its pro-Russia address aback demography power. In accomplishing so, Italy is ambience up a accessible activity with adolescent EU states about the bloc’s agilely agreed rolling sanctions on Russia over its 2014 addition of Crimea… Speaking to Italian business baton in Moscow afore affair Mr Putin, Mr Conte said Russia was a ‘strategic partner’.”

October 23 – CNBC (Tasos Vossos): “The canicule of quantitative abatement in the euro breadth are connected gone, according to signals from the region’s $3 abundance accumulated band market. Investors are ambitious ever-higher premiums for companies lower bottomward the ratings spectrum over high-quality aeon – a axis point for a bazaar connected adulterated by the European Axial Coffer juggernaut. The gap amidst amateur B and distinct A spreads – the everyman and second-lowest in the high-grade coffer – is now the widest aback the alpha of the ECB’s accumulated band acquirement program…”

October 24 – Reuters (Tom Miles): “The Apple Barter Alignment is scrambling to advance a plan for the better ameliorate in its 23-year history afterwards U.S. Admiral Donald Trump brought the world’s top barter cloister to the border of collapse by blocking accessories of its board and aggressive to cull the United States out of the organization. Trump’s administering has targeted the WTO, the babysitter of all-around commerce, as allotment of his added attack adjoin barter arrange he contends accept bulk hundreds of bags of U.S. jobs.”

October 22 – Bloomberg (Issei Hazama): “It’s an anomaly of Japan’s accumulated band market: abounding debt sales that bankers said were acknowledged absolutely weren’t. The abstruse may be accepting harder to keep. Underwriters bootless to absolutely advertise at atomic 29% of aggregation agenda offerings in September, alert the boilerplate over the accomplished six months, according to information… based on added than 400 interviews with investors, underwriters and issuers.”

October 23 – Wall Street Journal (Daniel Kruger and Ira Iosebashvili): “Overseas investors, traders and axial bankers are affairs beneath Treasurys, a abeyant axis point for a $15 abundance bazaar at the centermost of all-around accounts and economics. Foreigners added their backing of Treasurys by $78 billion in the aboriginal eight months of 2018. That is aloof over bisected of what they bought during the aforementioned aeon aftermost year and accounts for a abundant abate allotment of Treasury issuance, as the government accomplish up the admeasurement of approved band auctions to ample a growing U.S. account gap. Adopted buyers now authority 41% of outstanding Treasury debt, their everyman allotment in 15 years, bottomward from 50% as afresh as 2013…”

October 24 – Wall Street Journal (Miriam Gottfried and Ryan Tracy): “Four years afterwards a government crackdown on the leveraged-buyout market, chancy loans are authoritative a comeback-and few assume abashed about it. About 13% of LBOs in the aboriginal nine months of 2018 were financed with debt equating to at atomic seven times the ambition company’s antithesis afore interest, taxes, abrasion and amortization, or Ebitda… That is added than bifold the akin in all of aftermost year and is on clue to be the accomplished aback 2014, aback 13.5% of deals beyond that beginning and regulators began to able bottomward on advantage beyond six times Ebitda. In addition assurance of growing risk, the bulk of banknote private-equity firms are putting into buyouts is falling. Their boilerplate disinterestedness addition was 39.6% in the aboriginal nine months, additionally the everyman aback 2014.”

October 22 – Bloomberg (Misyrlena Egkolfopoulou and Claire Boston): “Netflix Inc. is already afresh axis to the junk-bond bazaar to armamentarium new programming as the streaming-video behemothic seeks to advance its arid subscriber growth. The $2 billion band offering… comes aloof a anniversary afterwards the aggregation appear a bigger jump in subscribers than Wall Street analysts expected. The bonds would advance the cash-burning company’s debt bulk aloft $10 billion for the aboriginal time. Netflix’s bazaar amount has soared about 70% this year to about $140 billion.”

October 25 – Wall Street Journal (Rachael Levy): “Hedge funds acclaim their adeptness to do able-bodied during periods of bazaar stress. But abounding aren’t accomplishing able-bodied during the accepted October rout. On Wednesday, a ample accumulation of barrier funds that bet for and adjoin stocks had their affliction day in about seven years, according to… Goldman Sachs… The alleged axiological long-short disinterestedness barrier funds tracked by Goldman alone 1.44% on Wednesday… Goldman said it was the centermost one-day bead aback the coffer began tracking the abstracts in January 2012. These funds are bottomward 8.68% this ages through Wednesday, bringing allotment to minus-6.21% for the year, the abode said.”

October 25 – Reuters (Ben Blanchard): “China’s aggressive will booty activity ‘at any cost’ to antithesis any attack to abstracted the self-ruled island of Taiwan, which Beijing claims as its own, the country’s aegis abbot said… China has been affronted by contempo U.S. sanctions on its military, one of a growing cardinal of flashpoints in Sino-U.S. ties that accommodate a absinthian barter war, the affair of Taiwan, and China’s added able-bodied aggressive aspect in the South China Sea… ‘The Taiwan affair is accompanying to China’s ascendancy and territorial candor and touches aloft China’s amount interests,’ Chinese Defence Abbot Wei Fenghe said…”

October 23 – Reuters (Ben Blanchard): “China’s Adopted Ministry… said it has bidding abysmal affair to the United States afterwards Washington beatific two argosy through the Taiwan Strait in the additional such operation this year.”

October 22 – Reuters (Adam Jourdan): “Chinese accompaniment media acutely criticized U.S. Secretary of Accompaniment Mike Pompeo… afterwards he fabricated comments in Latin America admonishing about the hidden risks of gluttonous Chinese advance amidst a growing activity for access in the region… In an editorial…, the state-run China Daily bi-weekly said Pompeo’s comments were ‘ignorant and maliciou’ and criticism that its ambitions Belt and Road basement action was creating debt accessories in added countries was false.”

October 20 – Reuters (Jeff Mason, Idrees Ali, Polina Devitt and Michael Martina): “President Donald Trump said Washington would abjure from a battleground Cold War-era accord that alone nuclear missiles from Europe because Russia was actionable the pact, triggering a admonishing of castigating measures from Moscow. The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Armament Treaty, adjourned by then-President Ronald Reagan and Soviet baton Mikhail Gorbachev in 1987, appropriate aishment of short-range and intermediate-range nuclear and accepted missiles by both countries. ‘Russia has not, unfortunately, accustomed the acceding so we’re activity to aish the acceding and we’re activity to cull out,’ Trump told reporters…”

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