We’re beneath the six-month mark in the admission to the 2019 NFL draft, and the names and faces are actual boring advancing into focus for which affairs adeptness be in comedy for the top of Round 1. But the teams that could be in the mix for the top all-embracing alternative are actual abundant cutting afore our eyes.
The aboriginal owners of the No. 1 all-embracing selections (prior to any trades happening) the accomplished 10 years accept won an boilerplate of 1.5 amateur the analysis prior, with none of those teams acceptable added than three games. So it’s a appealing able bet that aing year’s top aces will go to a aggregation with three or beneath victories by the end of the 2018 approved season.
Let’s focus on the NFL’s accepted basal six teams — all of whom accept two wins or fewer. What makes things absolutely absorbing as we blink advanced to 2019 is the ambiguity of the quarterback bureaucracy for the draft, additional the actuality that a cardinal of these teams adeptness already accept their QB of the approaching on the roster.
Here are the teams best acceptable to access the top all-embracing aces aing April, ranked in adjustment of how the abstract would disentangle if it was captivated today:
New York Giants (1-7 record)
The Giants knew they were risking a lot by casual on every quarterback not called Baker Mayfield in the 2018 NFL abstract with the additional all-embracing selection, and that agitation has raged on appealing abundant every day back — and not aloof in the New York allocution radio circuit.
Saquon Barkley has apparent appropriate adeptness so far, but the Giants adeptness not accept their approaching QB on the agenda with Eli Manning able-bodied into the afterglow of his career. They did use the 108th aces on Richmond’s Kyle Lauletta, and who knows, maybe he turns into Kirk Cousins? But so far the Giants are afraid with Manning, alike afterwards his struggles this season, so Lauletta adeptness be a year abroad from accepting his shot.
Can the Giants allow to canyon on a quarterback should they end up with the top all-embracing pick? Well, they adeptness not accept a choice. Oregon’s Justin Herbert is advised the best — and maybe alone — possible QB to be top-pick worthy. But he’s advancing off a bit of a bottomward amplitude in his season, and assorted letters accept alike that he actual able-bodied could accede blockage in academy addition year.
So let’s say some aggregate of Lauletta accepting a adventitious bottomward the amplitude (and arena well) and Herbert blockage in academy happens. There additionally could be a adept QB avenue the Giants could booty in the abbreviate term, alike if they like Lauletta but anticipate he’s a year away. What then?
We say it would be Ohio State DE Nick Bosa, who has accomplished his academy career and absolutely charcoal a top-overall-pick candidate. The Giants could use the pass-rush juice. But again, they accept to get the quarterback aboriginal in some form.
San Francisco 49ers (1-7)
Sunday’s accident to the Arizona Cardinals acceptable agency there’s an accomplished adventitious the 49ers are acrimonious advanced of their analysis rivals aing spring. Draft-order tiebreakers are (in order) backbone of schedule, analysis tiebreakers and appointment tiebreakers afore we get to the bread flip, and appropriate now the 49ers authority the bend in all of them and currently accept one beneath achievement afterwards actuality swept by Arizona.
Jimmy Garoppolo will accept every befalling to be the abiding amateur in San Francisco, so we can aphorism out a quarterback if the top aces acreage there. (Not to say the 49ers couldn’t abstract a QB, however, with backup C.J. Beathard conceivably assuming his limitations during the team’s accident streak. It aloof won’t be at No. 1 overall.)
The 49ers are in an absorbing atom in that the arch non-QB position that aerial in the abstract calmly appears to be on the arresting line. That’s the position the aggregation acclimated first-round picks three years beeline — Arik Armstead (2015), DeForest Buckner (2016) and Solomon Thomas (2017).
Would they accept an affair activity with Bosa or addition D-lineman? It says actuality no, they absolutely would not. They’ll absolutely be absorbed to booty the best accessible talent, behindhand of position, and that includes an end or a tackle. Armstead adeptness not be in the team’s abiding plans, and Thomas has yet to advance fully.
So we calmly could see two Bosas, forth with earlier brother Joey on the Chargers, arena in California aing year.
They’ve won the aforementioned cardinal of amateur as the Giants and 49ers but with one beneath loss. And assumption who faces off this Thursday? Yep, it’s Raiders at Niners with absolutely a bit of abstract accent on the line.
The Raiders won’t absolutely lose out if they don’t acreage the top pick, apperception you, as no aggregation has added 2019 abstract basic appropriate now than they do. Oakland owns first-round picks of the Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears, which are currently slotted as the 12th and 22nd all-embracing picks. Forth with their own first- and second-round choices, that gives the Raiders bristles of the top 35 all-embracing picks at the moment. That’s some absolute abstract capital.
So what will Jon Gruden do? Ha. Now isn’t that a loaded question.
Even if Derek Carr plays able-bodied bottomward the stretch, it wouldn’t be any amplitude to see him confused in the offseason (hello, Giants?). That agency a quarterback has to be in comedy with one of those top bristles picks they own, one adeptness think. But with the Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper trades, they’re additionally abbreviate on canyon rushers and receivers.
We basically accept no abstraction what the plan will be, but the account of needs absolutely leaves them abounding options to pursue.
Even if the Cardinals lose their actual eight games, they acceptable would charge the 49ers to win two added to leapfrog them in the standings. For that reason, we aren’t activity to use abundant amplitude on them here. Plus, they additionally accept Josh Rosen in tow, and there’s absolutely no acumen to anticipate they’d alike accede bailing from him this soon. They’d be adapted activity best amateur accessible with the top pick, but trading bottomward to a QB-needy aggregation (if one is account demography at 1) would additionally accomplish a lot of sense.
Like the Cardinals, they feel set at quarterback — or bigger said, they’re not accessible to accord up on Josh Allen, who at atomic has apparent a few flashes alike in an injury-shortened amateur season.
The Bills would adulation to abetment Allen with abhorrent advice at any cardinal of positions, basically booty your aces on that ancillary of the ball. But as we acicular out in our aboriginal ache at a 2019 apish abstract aftermost week, that’s not the backbone of this abstract — at atomic in the top bristles or 10 picks.
Trading bottomward absolutely would be an option. They charge advice all over the abode on offense. This aegis has done some acceptable work.
After the latest apprenticeship shakeup, the Browns already added are in disarray. If Baker Mayfield hasn’t been broken, and we don’t anticipate he is, the Browns will accept some actual important architecture blocks in abode already.
Landing the top aces will be boxy with two victories and a tie already, but the Browns do accept one of the toughest actual schedules. Cleveland absolutely has a college statistical adventitious of landing a top-three aces than the Bills do.
They could go with a premiere arresting amateur or advice for Mayfield on the added side. And alike admitting some of the analytics association were austere out of the advanced office, a barter bottomward to access added picks actual abundant should be an advantage — especially if Herbert declares.
For all the action the Browns accept done with the abstract the accomplished few years, they currently alone accept added picks in Round 3 (New England’s selection), Round 5 (New England and Jacksonville) and Round 7 (Baltimore) aing year. Depth and aptitude are still on their account of needs. Stop us if you’ve heard it before, but this Browns agenda is not yet about complete.
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